EQUITY RESEARCH — DEEP DIVE
Starbucks Corporation (SBUX)
Sector: Consumer Discretionary / Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure |
Published: 2026-05-22 |
Pages: 12
Price at publication: $103.33 | Market cap:
Themes: Deep Value Quality Compounder
Executive Summary
We at T&T Capital Management have followed Starbucks Corporation (SBUX) for the better part of two decades — first as a high-quality compounder, then as a stalled franchise wrestling with self-inflicted operational drag, and now as one of the most heavily-watched corporate turnarounds in the consumer sector. The arrival of Brian Niccol as Chairman and CEO in September 2024 fundamentally re-framed the story. Twenty months in, the operational data is vindicating that decision: in the quarter ended March 29, 2026 (Q2 FY2026), Starbucks broke a seven-quarter streak of negative global comparable sales, posting global comp growth of 6.2%, U.S.
What’s Inside The Full Report
- 15-year financial summary table — revenue, net income, GAAP & adjusted EPS
- Valuation framework — current multiples vs. 5-year historical range
- Peer comparison table — multiples, margins, balance-sheet metrics
- Base case, bull case, bear case price targets with explicit math
- Competitive position and economic moat analysis
- Management and capital allocation track record
- Balance sheet review — leverage, credit ratings, distribution coverage
- Insider activity — recent open-market buys / sells with interpretation
- Strategic acquisitions and divestitures history
- Sell-side consensus and where TTCM differs
- Detailed risk factors specific to the name
- Bull case and forward catalysts to watch
- TTCM rating with explicit ADD / TRIM price triggers
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