DCF Sensitivity Calculator
Three-scenario discounted-cash-flow model. Supply free cash flow, your view on growth, a discount rate, and share count — we run the present-value math for a Bear, Base, and Bull case.
Inputs
All dollar values in millions. Per-share output is in dollars per share.
5-year FCF growth — by scenario
Intrinsic value per share
Sum of discounted explicit-period FCFs plus discounted terminal value, less net debt, divided by shares.
How to read the output
- Per-share intrinsic value is the answer the model gives for each scenario. Compare to the current market price to gauge margin of safety.
- Spread (Bull − Bear) is the dispersion your growth assumption alone creates. A wide spread tells you you’re looking at a high-uncertainty business that deserves a deeper discount.
- Terminal % is the share of value coming from the perpetuity tail. Above ~75% means small changes in the terminal-growth rate dominate the answer — a fragile result.
- The model is structurally simple by design. We’d rather have you experiment with the inputs than hide the math behind a black box.
Want this work done for you?
We run rigorous DCFs — alongside relative valuation, asset-replacement-cost analysis, and qualitative business assessment — on every name we own in client portfolios.
Schedule a portfolio review →This calculator is provided for educational purposes. It is not investment advice and does not account for your individual financial situation, risk tolerance, or tax circumstances. T&T Capital Management LLC is a registered investment adviser; advisory services are available through an engagement.
