EQUITY RESEARCH — DEEP DIVE

Dow Inc. (DOW)

Sector: Materials / Commodity Chemicals | Published: 2026-05-20 | Pages: 7

Price at publication: $36.14 | Market cap: $26.1 billion

Themes: Deep Value Cyclical Income

Executive Summary

Dow Inc. is one of the largest U.S. commodity-chemicals producers — ethylene, polyethylene, polyurethanes, silicones, and industrial intermediates produced from the company’s integrated petrochemical complexes principally in Texas, Louisiana, and Saudi Arabia (the Sadara joint venture). The stock at $36.14 reflects a cyclical-bottom valuation — TTM net loss of -$2.86B is a function of compressed petrochemical spreads, particularly the ethylene-to-naphtha and polyethylene margins that have been depressed since the 2022 cycle peak.

What’s inside the full report

  • 15-year financial summary table — revenue, net income, GAAP & adjusted EPS
  • Valuation framework — current multiples vs. 5-year historical range
  • Peer comparison table — multiples, margins, balance-sheet metrics
  • Base case, bull case, bear case price targets with explicit math
  • Competitive position and economic moat analysis
  • Management and capital allocation track record
  • Balance sheet review — leverage, credit ratings, distribution coverage
  • Insider activity — recent open-market buys / sells with interpretation
  • Strategic acquisitions and divestitures history
  • Sell-side consensus and where TTCM differs
  • Detailed risk factors specific to the name
  • Bull case and forward catalysts to watch
  • TTCM rating with explicit ADD / TRIM price triggers

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T&T Capital Management LLC is a registered investment adviser. The research presented here reflects the firm’s opinions and is not personalized investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Form ADV available at adviserinfo.sec.gov.