EQUITY RESEARCH — DEEP DIVE
McDonald’s Corporation (MCD)
Sector: Consumer Discretionary / Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure |
Published: 2026-05-22 |
Pages: 9
Themes: Quality Compounder Defensive
Executive Summary
McDonald’s Corporation is the largest restaurant company in the world by systemwide sales, with roughly 45,000 restaurants across 100+ countries and a refranchised model that converts a global footprint of consumer transactions into a recurring stream of royalties, rent, and brand fees. The chain produced approximately $26.9B of consolidated revenue and $8.6B of net income in fiscal 2025, with operating margins north of 46% and a return on invested capital that, in our view, justifies a quality multiple even after a punishing eighteen months for the restaurant tape. We at T&T Capital Management view MCD as a textbook defensive compounder trading at a reasonable, not cheap, valuation.
What’s Inside The Full Report
- 15-year financial summary table — revenue, net income, GAAP & adjusted EPS
- Valuation framework — current multiples vs. 5-year historical range
- Peer comparison table — multiples, margins, balance-sheet metrics
- Base case, bull case, bear case price targets with explicit math
- Competitive position and economic moat analysis
- Management and capital allocation track record
- Balance sheet review — leverage, credit ratings, distribution coverage
- Insider activity — recent open-market buys / sells with interpretation
- Strategic acquisitions and divestitures history
- Sell-side consensus and where TTCM differs
- Detailed risk factors specific to the name
- Bull case and forward catalysts to watch
- TTCM rating with explicit ADD / TRIM price triggers
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