EQUITY RESEARCH — DEEP DIVE

Moody’s Corporation (MCO)

Sector: Financials / Financial Exchanges & Data |
Published: 2026-06-08 |
Pages: 8

Themes: Wide moat Ratings duopoly Quality compounder

Executive Summary

Moody’s Corporation (NYSE: MCO) is, in our view, one of the highest-quality, widest-moat businesses in the entire U.S. public market. The company sits at the center of global credit through Moody’s Investors Service (MIS) — one of two dominant ratings agencies in a regulated, government-blessed oligopoly — and increasingly earns durable recurring revenue through Moody’s Analytics (MA), its research, data, and risk-software arm. The economics are remarkable: a ~53% adjusted operating margin, ~60% of revenue now recurring, modest capital intensity, and pricing power that compounds almost regardless of the macro environment.

What’s Inside The Full Report

  • 15-year financial summary table — revenue, net income, GAAP & adjusted EPS
  • Valuation framework — current multiples vs. 5-year historical range
  • Peer comparison table — multiples, margins, balance-sheet metrics
  • Base case, bull case, bear case price targets with explicit math
  • Competitive position and economic moat analysis
  • Management and capital allocation track record
  • Balance sheet review — leverage, credit ratings, distribution coverage
  • Insider activity — recent open-market buys / sells with interpretation
  • Strategic acquisitions and divestitures history
  • Sell-side consensus and where TTCM differs
  • Detailed risk factors specific to the name
  • Bull case and forward catalysts to watch
  • TTCM rating with explicit ADD / TRIM price triggers

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T&T Capital Management LLC is a registered investment adviser. The research presented here reflects the firm’s opinions and is not personalized investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Form ADV available at adviserinfo.sec.gov.