EQUITY RESEARCH — DEEP DIVE
Moody’s Corporation (MCO)
Sector: Financials / Financial Exchanges & Data |
Published: 2026-06-08 |
Pages: 8
Themes: Wide moat Ratings duopoly Quality compounder
Executive Summary
Moody’s Corporation (NYSE: MCO) is, in our view, one of the highest-quality, widest-moat businesses in the entire U.S. public market. The company sits at the center of global credit through Moody’s Investors Service (MIS) — one of two dominant ratings agencies in a regulated, government-blessed oligopoly — and increasingly earns durable recurring revenue through Moody’s Analytics (MA), its research, data, and risk-software arm. The economics are remarkable: a ~53% adjusted operating margin, ~60% of revenue now recurring, modest capital intensity, and pricing power that compounds almost regardless of the macro environment.
What’s Inside The Full Report
- 15-year financial summary table — revenue, net income, GAAP & adjusted EPS
- Valuation framework — current multiples vs. 5-year historical range
- Peer comparison table — multiples, margins, balance-sheet metrics
- Base case, bull case, bear case price targets with explicit math
- Competitive position and economic moat analysis
- Management and capital allocation track record
- Balance sheet review — leverage, credit ratings, distribution coverage
- Insider activity — recent open-market buys / sells with interpretation
- Strategic acquisitions and divestitures history
- Sell-side consensus and where TTCM differs
- Detailed risk factors specific to the name
- Bull case and forward catalysts to watch
- TTCM rating with explicit ADD / TRIM price triggers
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