EQUITY RESEARCH — DEEP DIVE

Ares Management Corporation (ARES)

Sector: Financials / Capital Markets — Credit Alts | Published: 2026-05-20 | Pages: 8

Price at publication: $120.51 | Market cap: $39.8 billion

Themes: Income Deep Value

Executive Summary

Ares Management is the credit-focused alternative asset manager — $478 billion of AUM with the deepest pure-play exposure to private credit, direct lending, and structured credit among the listed alt platforms. The stock has corrected 29.5 percent over the past twelve months, the deepest drawdown in the peer group, as the private-credit cycle has moved from euphoria to skepticism on spread compression and the durability of middle-market loan performance through a potential downturn. At $120.51, ARES trades at 19.3x forward consensus and 4.48 percent dividend yield.

What’s inside the full report

  • 15-year financial summary table — revenue, net income, GAAP & adjusted EPS
  • Valuation framework — current multiples vs. 5-year historical range
  • Peer comparison table — multiples, margins, balance-sheet metrics
  • Base case, bull case, bear case price targets with explicit math
  • Competitive position and economic moat analysis
  • Management and capital allocation track record
  • Balance sheet review — leverage, credit ratings, distribution coverage
  • Insider activity — recent open-market buys / sells with interpretation
  • Strategic acquisitions and divestitures history
  • Sell-side consensus and where TTCM differs
  • Detailed risk factors specific to the name
  • Bull case and forward catalysts to watch
  • TTCM rating with explicit ADD / TRIM price triggers

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T&T Capital Management LLC is a registered investment adviser. The research presented here reflects the firm’s opinions and is not personalized investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Form ADV available at adviserinfo.sec.gov.