EQUITY RESEARCH — DEEP DIVE
Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (ICE)
Sector: Financials / Financial Exchanges & Data | Published: 2026-06-08 | Pages: 8
Price at publication: $141.50 | Market cap: $79 Billion
Themes: Wide moat Exchanges & data Deep value setup
Executive Summary
Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) is one of the highest-quality businesses in the financial sector: a vertically integrated owner of mission-critical market infrastructure that spans global energy and financial futures, the New York Stock Exchange, fixed-income pricing and reference data, and the plumbing of the U.S. mortgage market. Founder Jeff Sprecher has spent twenty-six years assembling a toll-booth franchise that compounds: 2025 marked the company’s 20th consecutive year of record revenues, with net revenues of $9.9 billion, adjusted EPS of $6.95, and adjusted operating margins of 60%. Roughly half of revenue is now recurring (data, listings, mortgage subscriptions), and the transaction-based half is anti-fragile – it earns more when markets are volatile.
What’s Inside The Full Report
- 15-year financial summary table — revenue, net income, GAAP & adjusted EPS
- Valuation framework — current multiples vs. 5-year historical range
- Peer comparison table — multiples, margins, balance-sheet metrics
- Base case, bull case, bear case price targets with explicit math
- Competitive position and economic moat analysis
- Management and capital allocation track record
- Balance sheet review — leverage, credit ratings, distribution coverage
- Insider activity — recent open-market buys / sells with interpretation
- Strategic acquisitions and divestitures history
- Sell-side consensus and where TTCM differs
- Detailed risk factors specific to the name
- Bull case and forward catalysts to watch
- TTCM rating with explicit ADD / TRIM price triggers
Read The Full Report
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