EQUITY RESEARCH — DEEP DIVE

Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (ICE)

Sector: Financials / Financial Exchanges & Data |
Published: 2026-06-08 |
Pages: 8

Price at publication: $141.50 | Market cap: $79 Billion

Themes: Wide moat Exchanges & data Deep value setup

Executive Summary

Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) is one of the highest-quality businesses in the financial sector: a vertically integrated owner of mission-critical market infrastructure that spans global energy and financial futures, the New York Stock Exchange, fixed-income pricing and reference data, and the plumbing of the U.S. mortgage market. Founder Jeff Sprecher has spent twenty-six years assembling a toll-booth franchise that compounds: 2025 marked the company’s 20th consecutive year of record revenues, with net revenues of $9.9 billion, adjusted EPS of $6.95, and adjusted operating margins of 60%. Roughly half of revenue is now recurring (data, listings, mortgage subscriptions), and the transaction-based half is anti-fragile – it earns more when markets are volatile.

What’s Inside The Full Report

  • 15-year financial summary table — revenue, net income, GAAP & adjusted EPS
  • Valuation framework — current multiples vs. 5-year historical range
  • Peer comparison table — multiples, margins, balance-sheet metrics
  • Base case, bull case, bear case price targets with explicit math
  • Competitive position and economic moat analysis
  • Management and capital allocation track record
  • Balance sheet review — leverage, credit ratings, distribution coverage
  • Insider activity — recent open-market buys / sells with interpretation
  • Strategic acquisitions and divestitures history
  • Sell-side consensus and where TTCM differs
  • Detailed risk factors specific to the name
  • Bull case and forward catalysts to watch
  • TTCM rating with explicit ADD / TRIM price triggers

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T&T Capital Management LLC is a registered investment adviser. The research presented here reflects the firm’s opinions and is not personalized investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Form ADV available at adviserinfo.sec.gov.

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