EQUITY RESEARCH — DEEP DIVE

MGIC Investment Corporation (MTG)

Sector: Financials / Mortgage Insurance |
Published: 2026-05-20 |
Pages: 7

Price at publication: $26.37 | Market cap: $5.58 billion

Themes: Deep Value Quality Compounder

Executive Summary

MGIC Investment is one of the four scale players in the U.S. private mortgage insurance industry, a sector that emerged from the 2008-2009 financial crisis substantially restructured. MGIC is the largest pure-play and the longest-tenured PMI carrier — founded in 1957. The post-crisis franchise carries lower leverage, stricter underwriting, and stronger capital adequacy than its pre-crisis predecessor. At $26.37, MTG trades at 8.5x forward earnings, 1.10x book value of $23.63 per share, and delivers a 14.1 percent return on equity through what has been a benign mortgage credit cycle.

What’s Inside The Full Report

  • 15-year financial summary table — revenue, net income, GAAP & adjusted EPS
  • Valuation framework — current multiples vs. 5-year historical range
  • Peer comparison table — multiples, margins, balance-sheet metrics
  • Base case, bull case, bear case price targets with explicit math
  • Competitive position and economic moat analysis
  • Management and capital allocation track record
  • Balance sheet review — leverage, credit ratings, distribution coverage
  • Insider activity — recent open-market buys / sells with interpretation
  • Strategic acquisitions and divestitures history
  • Sell-side consensus and where TTCM differs
  • Detailed risk factors specific to the name
  • Bull case and forward catalysts to watch
  • TTCM rating with explicit ADD / TRIM price triggers

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T&T Capital Management LLC is a registered investment adviser. The research presented here reflects the firm’s opinions and is not personalized investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Form ADV available at adviserinfo.sec.gov.



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