EQUITY RESEARCH — DEEP DIVE

Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC)

Sector: / |
Published: 2026-05-26 |
Pages: 5

Executive Summary

Northrop Grumman is, in our view at T&T Capital Management, one of the most strategically positioned U.S. defense primes — with the rare combination of stealth-bomber expertise (B-2 + B-21 Raider), ICBM modernization (Sentinel/GBSD), space systems leadership (commercial + classified satellites), and mission-systems integration. At $545.20 per share the stock trades at approximately 21 times consensus FY2026 EPS — modest premium to defense peers reflecting both the B-21 production ramp and the long-cycle Sentinel ICBM program. Defense spending is structurally rising across the developed world; the U.S. FY2026 defense budget is approximately $895 billion. Kathy Warden became CEO in January 2019 after a long internal tenure.

What’s Inside The Full Report

  • 15-year financial summary table — revenue, net income, GAAP & adjusted EPS
  • Valuation framework — current multiples vs. 5-year historical range
  • Peer comparison table — multiples, margins, balance-sheet metrics
  • Base case, bull case, bear case price targets with explicit math
  • Competitive position and economic moat analysis
  • Management and capital allocation track record
  • Balance sheet review — leverage, credit ratings, distribution coverage
  • Insider activity — recent open-market buys / sells with interpretation
  • Strategic acquisitions and divestitures history
  • Sell-side consensus and where TTCM differs
  • Detailed risk factors specific to the name
  • Bull case and forward catalysts to watch
  • TTCM rating with explicit ADD / TRIM price triggers

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T&T Capital Management LLC is a registered investment adviser. The research presented here reflects the firm’s opinions and is not personalized investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Form ADV available at adviserinfo.sec.gov.

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