EQUITY RESEARCH — DEEP DIVE

Molson Coors Beverage Company (TAP)

Sector: / |
Published: 2026-05-25 |
Pages: 11

Executive Summary

Molson Coors Beverage Company is the second-largest brewer in the United States by volume and the parent of two of the country’s three largest beer brands — Coors Light and Miller Lite. It is also the textbook deep-value beverage name in 2026: trading at roughly 10 times underlying earnings and 6.2 times EV/EBITDA, throwing off more than $1.2 billion in annual free cash flow against an $8.5-9.2 billion market capitalization (an unlevered FCF yield north of 13 percent), paying a 4.3-to-4.6 percent dividend that the company has now raised four years in a row, and aggressively buying back stock under a $2 billion authorization the board approved in 2023 and doubled in early 2026. We at T&T Capital Management view TAP at approximately $44 as statistically cheap on essentially every multiple.

What’s Inside The Full Report

  • 15-year financial summary table — revenue, net income, GAAP & adjusted EPS
  • Valuation framework — current multiples vs. 5-year historical range
  • Peer comparison table — multiples, margins, balance-sheet metrics
  • Base case, bull case, bear case price targets with explicit math
  • Competitive position and economic moat analysis
  • Management and capital allocation track record
  • Balance sheet review — leverage, credit ratings, distribution coverage
  • Insider activity — recent open-market buys / sells with interpretation
  • Strategic acquisitions and divestitures history
  • Sell-side consensus and where TTCM differs
  • Detailed risk factors specific to the name
  • Bull case and forward catalysts to watch
  • TTCM rating with explicit ADD / TRIM price triggers

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T&T Capital Management LLC is a registered investment adviser. The research presented here reflects the firm’s opinions and is not personalized investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Form ADV available at adviserinfo.sec.gov.



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