EQUITY RESEARCH — DEEP DIVE
Jack in the Box Inc. (JACK)
Sector: / |
Published: 2026-05-26 |
Pages: 5
Executive Summary
Jack in the Box is, in our view at T&T Capital Management, a deep-value franchised QSR situation — operating two regional-to-national quick-service brands (Jack in the Box + Del Taco) totaling approximately 2,200 locations, with approximately 95 percent of the system franchised. At $32.40 per share the stock trades at approximately 6.5 times consensus FY2026 EPS and approximately 8 times EV/EBITDA — meaningfully compressed versus franchised-QSR peers (typically 15-25x EBITDA). The compressed multiple reflects (a) leveraged balance sheet, (b) near-term-traffic pressure, and (c) Del Taco integration execution concerns. Lance Tucker became CEO in November 2024 — succeeding Darin Harris who exited after several quarters of underperformance.
What’s Inside The Full Report
- 15-year financial summary table — revenue, net income, GAAP & adjusted EPS
- Valuation framework — current multiples vs. 5-year historical range
- Peer comparison table — multiples, margins, balance-sheet metrics
- Base case, bull case, bear case price targets with explicit math
- Competitive position and economic moat analysis
- Management and capital allocation track record
- Balance sheet review — leverage, credit ratings, distribution coverage
- Insider activity — recent open-market buys / sells with interpretation
- Strategic acquisitions and divestitures history
- Sell-side consensus and where TTCM differs
- Detailed risk factors specific to the name
- Bull case and forward catalysts to watch
- TTCM rating with explicit ADD / TRIM price triggers
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